Dominic Thiem 1-2 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Finished

For this ATP Madrid match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 sets, with a 40% model probability. We also predict Dominic Thiem to win at 27%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    40%
    Stake Low 12.7/100
    Odds 3.20 Lilibet Recorded P/L +28.01
    Best odds 3.20 Lilibet
  2. Pick 2 Dominic Thiem to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    27%
    Stake Low 9.4/100
    Odds 5.14 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -9.37
    Best odds 5.14 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Dominic Thiem vs Stefanos Tsitsipas prediction review

The ATP Madrid meeting between Dominic Thiem and Stefanos Tsitsipas finished 1-2 on Saturday, 29 April 2023.

The leading model-based prediction for Dominic Thiem vs Stefanos Tsitsipas is over 2.5 sets, with a calculated probability of 40%. Latest recorded odds for the pick are 3.20, with BetFTW assigning it a Low stake rating. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

Another available betting angle for the event comes from the match-winner market. For this market, Dominic Thiem to win carries a 27% model probability and latest recorded odds of 5.14. While over 2.5 sets is the higher-probability selection, Dominic Thiem to win provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 3.20. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.