Alex De Minaur 2-0 Rafael Nadal

Finished

For this ATP Barcelona match, BetFTW's top pick is Rafael Nadal to win, with a 64% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 46%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Rafael Nadal to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    64%
    Stake Low 20.1/100
    Odds 1.82 Betano Recorded P/L -20.10
    Best odds 1.82 Betano
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    46%
    Stake Low 6.0/100
    Odds 2.35 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -6.00
    Best odds 2.35 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Alex De Minaur vs Rafael Nadal prediction review

Alex De Minaur and Rafael Nadal met in ATP Barcelona on Wednesday, 17 April 2024, with the event ending 2-0.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects Rafael Nadal to win and assigns the outcome a 64% probability. The prediction's latest recorded price is 1.82, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

A second available pick comes from the total-sets market. For this market, over 2.5 sets carries a 46% model probability and latest recorded odds of 2.35. Rafael Nadal to win is rated more highly by the model, at 64% compared with 46% for over 2.5 sets. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 1.82. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.