Alex De Minaur 0-2 Rafael Nadal

Finished

For this ATP Madrid match, BetFTW's top pick is Rafael Nadal to win, with a 64% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 46%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Rafael Nadal to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    64%
    Stake Med 40.0/100
    Odds 2.50 DraftKings Recorded P/L +67.04
    Best odds 2.61 Suprabets
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    46%
    Stake Low 6.3/100
    Odds 2.36 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -7.15
    Best odds 2.39 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Alex De Minaur vs Rafael Nadal prediction review

Alex De Minaur vs Rafael Nadal took place in ATP Madrid on Saturday, 27 April 2024 and ended with a 0-2 final score.

The model's strongest available selection is Rafael Nadal to win, rated at 64%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.50, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

Another available betting angle for the event comes from the total-sets market. For this market, over 2.5 sets carries a 46% model probability and latest recorded odds of 2.36. Of the two available picks, Rafael Nadal to win carries the higher model probability at 64% compared with 46%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best price recorded for the primary pick is 2.61, above its latest recorded odds of 2.50. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.