Daniil Medvedev 2-1 Matteo Arnaldi

Finished

For this ATP Madrid match, BetFTW's top pick is Daniil Medvedev to win, with a 79% model probability. We also predict under 2.5 sets at 66%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Daniil Medvedev to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    79%
    Stake Med 42.8/100
    Odds 1.58 Suprabets Recorded P/L +24.82
    Best odds 1.58 Suprabets
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    66%
    Stake Low 13.9/100
    Odds 1.65 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -13.93
    Best odds 1.65 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi prediction review

Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Arnaldi met in ATP Madrid on Saturday, 27 April 2024, with the event ending 2-1.

The model's strongest available selection is Daniil Medvedev to win, rated at 79%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 1.58, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the total-sets market. For this market, under 2.5 sets carries a 66% model probability and latest recorded odds of 1.65. The predictions cover different markets, with the model assigning the higher probability to Daniil Medvedev to win. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 1.58. The original model probability, recorded prices, stake band and settled outcome remain on this page as a transparent historical prediction record.