Novak Djokovic 3-1 Carlos Alcaraz

Finished

For this ATP Australian Open match, BetFTW's top pick is Novak Djokovic to win, with a 71% model probability. We also predict under 3.5 sets at 53%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Novak Djokovic to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    71%
    Stake High 55.7/100
    Odds 2.90 Betano Recorded P/L +105.91
    Best odds 2.90 Betano
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 3.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    53%
    Stake Med 27.0/100
    Odds 2.81 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -27.87
    Best odds 2.87 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction review

Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz took place in ATP Australian Open on Tuesday, 21 January 2025 and ended with a 3-1 final score.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects Novak Djokovic to win and assigns the outcome a 71% probability. The selection has latest recorded odds of 2.90 and falls into the High stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

A second available pick comes from the total-sets market. The model selects under 3.5 sets, assigning the outcome a 53% probability at latest recorded odds of 2.81. Of the two available picks, Novak Djokovic to win carries the higher model probability at 71% compared with 53%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 2.90. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.