Denis Shapovalov 0-2 Carlos Alcaraz

Finished

For this ATP Indian Wells match, BetFTW's top pick is Denis Shapovalov to win, with a 26% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 38%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Denis Shapovalov to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    26%
    Stake Low 10.3/100
    Odds 5.70 Betano Recorded P/L -10.26
    Best odds 5.70 Betano
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    38%
    Stake Low 8.1/100
    Odds 3.07 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -8.05
    Best odds 3.07 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Denis Shapovalov vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction review

ATP Indian Wells action on Tuesday, 11 March 2025 included Denis Shapovalov against Carlos Alcaraz, a match that finished 0-2.

BetFTW gives Denis Shapovalov to win a 26% probability, making it the top-ranked pick for this event. BetFTW records odds of 5.70 for the selection, alongside a Low recommended stake rating. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

Another available betting angle for the event comes from the total-sets market. BetFTW rates over 2.5 sets at 38%, compared with latest recorded odds of 3.07. Of the two available picks, over 2.5 sets carries the higher model probability at 38% compared with 26%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 5.70. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.