Jack Draper 2-1 Carlos Alcaraz

Finished

For this ATP Indian Wells match, BetFTW's top pick is Jack Draper to win, with a 32% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 44%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Jack Draper to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    32%
    Stake Low 6.4/100
    Odds 3.66 GG.BET Recorded P/L +17.13
    Best odds 3.66 GG.BET
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    44%
    Stake Low 6.4/100
    Odds 2.49 Marathonbet Recorded P/L +17.30
    Best odds 2.55 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated
Match analysis

Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction review

ATP Indian Wells action on Saturday, 15 March 2025 included Jack Draper against Carlos Alcaraz, a match that finished 2-1.

The leading model-based prediction for Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz is Jack Draper to win, with a calculated probability of 32%. Latest recorded odds for the pick are 3.66, with BetFTW assigning it a Low stake rating. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

A second available pick comes from the total-sets market. The model selects over 2.5 sets, assigning the outcome a 44% probability at latest recorded odds of 2.49. Of the two available picks, over 2.5 sets carries the higher model probability at 44% compared with 32%. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 3.66. The original model probability, recorded prices, stake band and settled outcome remain on this page as a transparent historical prediction record.