Arthur Fils 1-2 Carlos Alcaraz

Finished

For this ATP Monte Carlo match, BetFTW's top pick is Carlos Alcaraz to win, with a 78% model probability. We also predict under 2.5 sets at 66%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Carlos Alcaraz to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    78%
    Stake Med 25.4/100
    Odds 1.42 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +10.66
    Best odds 1.42 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    66%
    Stake Low 11.9/100
    Odds 1.63 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -11.86
    Best odds 1.63 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Arthur Fils vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction review

Arthur Fils vs Carlos Alcaraz took place in ATP Monte Carlo on Friday, 11 April 2025 and ended with a 1-2 final score.

The model's strongest available selection is Carlos Alcaraz to win, rated at 78%. Latest recorded odds for the pick are 1.42, with BetFTW assigning it a Medium stake rating. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

A second available pick comes from the total-sets market. The model selects under 2.5 sets, assigning the outcome a 66% probability at latest recorded odds of 1.63. While Carlos Alcaraz to win is the higher-probability selection, under 2.5 sets provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 1.42. The original model probability, recorded prices, stake band and settled outcome remain on this page as a transparent historical prediction record.