Matteo Arnaldi 2-0 Novak Djokovic

Finished

For this ATP Madrid match, BetFTW's top pick is Novak Djokovic to win, with a 82% model probability. We also predict under 2.5 sets at 70%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Novak Djokovic to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    82%
    Stake Low 24.5/100
    Odds 1.31 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -24.49
    Best odds 1.31 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    70%
    Stake Low 13.4/100
    Odds 1.53 Parimatch Recorded P/L +7.10
    Best odds 1.53 Parimatch
Odds updated
Match analysis

Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic prediction review

The final score was 2-0 when Matteo Arnaldi faced Novak Djokovic in ATP Madrid on Saturday, 26 April 2025.

The leading model-based prediction for Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic is Novak Djokovic to win, with a calculated probability of 82%. The selection is shown at latest recorded odds of 1.31 and carries a Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the total-sets market. For this market, under 2.5 sets carries a 70% model probability and latest recorded odds of 1.53. Of the two available picks, Novak Djokovic to win carries the higher model probability at 82% compared with 70%. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 1.31. Published prediction data remains visible after settlement, including the model probability, recorded prices, stake and outcome.