Aryna Sabalenka 2-1 Elise Mertens

Finished

For this WTA Madrid match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 sets, with a 38% model probability. We also predict Elise Mertens to win at 26%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    38%
    Stake Low 18.0/100
    Odds 4.10 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L +55.80
    Best odds 4.10 Casumo Sport
  2. Pick 2 Elise Mertens to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    26%
    Stake Low 16.1/100
    Odds 8.50 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L -16.13
    Best odds 8.50 Casumo Sport
Odds updated
Match analysis

Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens prediction review

The final score was 2-1 when Aryna Sabalenka faced Elise Mertens in WTA Madrid on Sunday, 27 April 2025.

BetFTW's model rates over 2.5 sets as the leading prediction for the event, with an estimated probability of 38%. The selection has latest recorded odds of 4.10 and falls into the Low stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the match-winner market. For this market, Elise Mertens to win carries a 26% model probability and latest recorded odds of 8.50. over 2.5 sets is rated more highly by the model, at 38% compared with 26% for Elise Mertens to win. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 4.10. Published prediction data remains visible after settlement, including the model probability, recorded prices, stake and outcome.