Daniil Medvedev 2-1 Brandon Nakashima

Finished

For this ATP Madrid match, BetFTW's top pick is Daniil Medvedev to win, with a 79% model probability. We also predict under 2.5 sets at 66%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Daniil Medvedev to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    79%
    Stake Med 26.2/100
    Odds 1.40 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +11.39
    Best odds 1.41 Casumo Sport
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    66%
    Stake Low 13.3/100
    Odds 1.65 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -14.95
    Best odds 1.67 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima prediction review

The ATP Madrid meeting between Daniil Medvedev and Brandon Nakashima finished 2-1 on Tuesday, 29 April 2025.

The highest-rated BetFTW selection for this event is Daniil Medvedev to win, which carries a 79% model probability. The prediction's latest recorded price is 1.40, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The total-sets market provides another BetFTW prediction for this event. For this market, under 2.5 sets carries a 66% model probability and latest recorded odds of 1.65. Daniil Medvedev to win is rated more highly by the model, at 79% compared with 66% for under 2.5 sets. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

BetFTW shows best recorded odds of 1.41 for the primary prediction, while its latest recorded odds are 1.40. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.