Karen Khachanov 1-2 Tommy Paul

Finished

For this ATP Madrid match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 sets, with a 50% model probability. We also predict Karen Khachanov to win at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    50%
    Stake Low 10.9/100
    Odds 2.28 Mr Green Sport Recorded P/L +14.00
    Best odds 2.28 Mr Green Sport
  2. Pick 2 Karen Khachanov to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    50%
    Stake Low 10.0/100
    Odds 2.25 Betano Recorded P/L -10.00
    Best odds 2.25 Betano
Odds updated
Match analysis

Karen Khachanov vs Tommy Paul prediction review

The ATP Madrid meeting between Karen Khachanov and Tommy Paul finished 1-2 on Tuesday, 29 April 2025.

The highest-rated BetFTW selection for this event is over 2.5 sets, which carries a 50% model probability. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.28, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Low stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the match-winner market. Karen Khachanov to win is rated at 50%, with latest recorded odds of 2.25. The two available picks carry the same estimated probability and cover separate markets. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 2.28. The original model probability, recorded prices, stake band and settled outcome remain on this page as a transparent historical prediction record.