Karen Khachanov 1-2 Carlos Alcaraz

Finished

For this ATP Rome match, BetFTW's top pick is Karen Khachanov to win, with a 28% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 40%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Karen Khachanov to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    28%
    Stake Low 17.1/100
    Odds 7.60 FanDuel Recorded P/L -17.09
    Best odds 7.60 FanDuel
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    40%
    Stake Low 12.9/100
    Odds 3.21 LSbet Recorded P/L +28.40
    Best odds 3.21 LSbet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction review

Karen Khachanov and Carlos Alcaraz met in ATP Rome on Tuesday, 13 May 2025, with the event ending 1-2.

The leading model-based prediction for Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz is Karen Khachanov to win, with a calculated probability of 28%. The selection has latest recorded odds of 7.60 and falls into the Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The total-sets market provides another BetFTW prediction for this event. The model selects over 2.5 sets, assigning the outcome a 40% probability at latest recorded odds of 3.21. over 2.5 sets is rated more highly by the model, at 40% compared with 28% for Karen Khachanov to win. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 7.60. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.