Jannik Sinner 2-1 Tommy Paul

Finished

For this ATP Rome match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 sets, with a 44% model probability. We also predict Tommy Paul to win at 32%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    44%
    Stake Med 25.3/100
    Odds 4.00 Betway Recorded P/L +75.99
    Best odds 4.00 Betway
  2. Pick 2 Tommy Paul to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    32%
    Stake Low 24.4/100
    Odds 9.90 FanDuel Recorded P/L -24.36
    Best odds 9.90 FanDuel
Odds updated
Match analysis

Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul prediction review

The final score was 2-1 when Jannik Sinner faced Tommy Paul in ATP Rome on Friday, 16 May 2025.

The highest-rated BetFTW selection for this event is over 2.5 sets, which carries a 44% model probability. The prediction's latest recorded price is 4.00, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the match-winner market. The model selects Tommy Paul to win, assigning the outcome a 32% probability at latest recorded odds of 9.90. Of the two available picks, over 2.5 sets carries the higher model probability at 44% compared with 32%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 4.00. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.