Taylor Fritz 1-3 Carlos Alcaraz

Finished

For this ATP Wimbledon match, BetFTW's top pick is Taylor Fritz to win, with a 50% model probability. We also predict under 3.5 sets at 46%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Taylor Fritz to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    50%
    Stake Med 39.1/100
    Odds 5.60 Parimatch Recorded P/L -39.13
    Best odds 5.60 Parimatch
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 3.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    46%
    Stake Low 6.3/100
    Odds 2.36 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -6.29
    Best odds 2.36 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction review

ATP Wimbledon action on Friday, 11 July 2025 included Taylor Fritz against Carlos Alcaraz, a match that finished 1-3.

BetFTW's model rates Taylor Fritz to win as the leading prediction for the event, with an estimated probability of 50%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 5.60, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the total-sets market. The model selects under 3.5 sets, assigning the outcome a 46% probability at latest recorded odds of 2.36. Of the two available picks, Taylor Fritz to win carries the higher model probability at 50% compared with 46%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 5.60. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.