Jannik Sinner 3-1 Carlos Alcaraz

Finished

For this ATP Wimbledon match, BetFTW's top pick is under 3.5 sets, with a 45% model probability. We also predict Jannik Sinner to win at 54%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 3.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    45%
    Stake Low 22.1/100
    Odds 3.40 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -22.08
    Best odds 3.40 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Jannik Sinner to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    54%
    Stake Low 8.0/100
    Odds 2.00 Coral Recorded P/L +13.40
    Best odds 2.10 Caesars
Odds updated
Match analysis

Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction review

The final score was 3-1 when Jannik Sinner faced Carlos Alcaraz in ATP Wimbledon on Sunday, 13 July 2025.

BetFTW gives under 3.5 sets a 45% probability, making it the top-ranked pick for this event. The prediction's latest recorded price is 3.40, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

BetFTW also has a prediction available in the match-winner market. BetFTW rates Jannik Sinner to win at 54%, compared with latest recorded odds of 2.00. Jannik Sinner to win is rated more highly by the model, at 54% compared with 45% for under 3.5 sets. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 3.40. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.