Matteo Arnaldi 2-0 Lorenzo Sonego

Finished

For this ATP Washington match, BetFTW's top pick is Matteo Arnaldi to win, with a 62% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 48%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Matteo Arnaldi to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    62%
    Stake Med 27.8/100
    Odds 2.11 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +30.82
    Best odds 2.11 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    48%
    Stake Low 8.9/100
    Odds 2.33 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -8.90
    Best odds 2.33 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Sonego prediction review

The ATP Washington meeting between Matteo Arnaldi and Lorenzo Sonego finished 2-0 on Wednesday, 23 July 2025.

BetFTW gives Matteo Arnaldi to win a 62% probability, making it the top-ranked pick for this event. Latest recorded odds for the pick are 2.11, with BetFTW assigning it a Medium stake rating. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the total-sets market. For this market, over 2.5 sets carries a 48% model probability and latest recorded odds of 2.33. Matteo Arnaldi to win is rated more highly by the model, at 62% compared with 48% for over 2.5 sets. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 2.11. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.