Reilly Opelka 0-3 Carlos Alcaraz

Finished

For this ATP US Open match, BetFTW's top pick is Reilly Opelka to win, with a 36% model probability. We also predict over 3.5 sets at 51%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Reilly Opelka to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    36%
    Stake Med 30.9/100
    Odds 13.56 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -30.90
    Best odds 13.56 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 3.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    51%
    Stake Low 10.2/100
    Odds 2.20 Fezbet Recorded P/L -10.17
    Best odds 2.20 Fezbet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Reilly Opelka vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction review

The final score was 0-3 when Reilly Opelka faced Carlos Alcaraz in ATP US Open on Tuesday, 26 August 2025.

For the match-winner market, BetFTW favours Reilly Opelka to win at 36%. BetFTW records odds of 13.56 for the selection, alongside a Medium recommended stake rating. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

A second available pick comes from the total-sets market. The model selects over 3.5 sets, assigning the outcome a 51% probability at latest recorded odds of 2.20. The predictions cover different markets, with the model assigning the higher probability to over 3.5 sets. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 13.56. Published prediction data remains visible after settlement, including the model probability, recorded prices, stake and outcome.