Alexander Bublik 3-2 Tommy Paul

Finished

For this ATP US Open match, BetFTW's top pick is Tommy Paul to win, with a 58% model probability. We also predict under 3.5 sets at 46%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Tommy Paul to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    58%
    Stake Low 21.2/100
    Odds 2.14 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L -21.16
    Best odds 2.14 Casumo Sport
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 3.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    46%
    Stake Low 16.0/100
    Odds 2.80 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -16.00
    Best odds 2.80 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul prediction review

The final score was 3-2 when Alexander Bublik faced Tommy Paul in ATP US Open on Sunday, 31 August 2025.

The highest-rated BetFTW selection for this event is Tommy Paul to win, which carries a 58% model probability. The selection is shown at latest recorded odds of 2.14 and carries a Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

A second available pick comes from the total-sets market. For this market, under 3.5 sets carries a 46% model probability and latest recorded odds of 2.80. Tommy Paul to win is rated more highly by the model, at 58% compared with 46% for under 3.5 sets. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 2.14. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.