Carlos Alcaraz 2-1 Casper Ruud

Finished

For this ATP Tokyo match, BetFTW's top pick is Casper Ruud to win, with a 46% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Casper Ruud to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    46%
    Stake Med 37.6/100
    Odds 7.45 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -37.63
    Best odds 7.45 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    50%
    Stake Med 31.5/100
    Odds 3.70 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +85.00
    Best odds 3.70 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud prediction review

The final score was 2-1 when Carlos Alcaraz faced Casper Ruud in ATP Tokyo on Monday, 29 September 2025.

BetFTW gives Casper Ruud to win a 46% probability, making it the top-ranked pick for this event. The prediction's latest recorded price is 7.45, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The total-sets market provides another BetFTW prediction for this event. For this market, over 2.5 sets carries a 50% model probability and latest recorded odds of 3.70. over 2.5 sets is rated more highly by the model, at 50% compared with 46% for Casper Ruud to win. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 7.45. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.