Zhizhen Zhang 1-2 Sebastian Baez

Finished

For this ATP Shanghai match, BetFTW's top pick is Sebastian Baez to win, with a 64% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 46%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Sebastian Baez to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    64%
    Stake Med 31.9/100
    Odds 2.12 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +40.80
    Best odds 2.20 William Hill
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    46%
    Stake Low 6.3/100
    Odds 2.36 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +8.55
    Best odds 2.36 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Zhizhen Zhang vs Sebastian Baez prediction review

The ATP Shanghai meeting between Zhizhen Zhang and Sebastian Baez finished 1-2 on Wednesday, 1 October 2025.

The highest-rated BetFTW selection for this event is Sebastian Baez to win, which carries a 64% model probability. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.12, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

A second available pick comes from the total-sets market. For this market, over 2.5 sets carries a 46% model probability and latest recorded odds of 2.36. Sebastian Baez to win is rated more highly by the model, at 64% compared with 46% for over 2.5 sets. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

BetFTW shows best recorded odds of 2.20 for the primary prediction, while its latest recorded odds are 2.12. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.