Aryna Sabalenka 2-1 Jessica Pegula

Finished

For this WTA World Tour - Finals match, BetFTW's top pick is Jessica Pegula to win, with a 46% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Jessica Pegula to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    46%
    Stake Med 27.4/100
    Odds 3.90 Vave Recorded P/L -27.38
    Best odds 3.90 Vave
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    50%
    Stake Low 23.7/100
    Odds 2.90 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +44.99
    Best odds 2.90 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula prediction review

The WTA World Tour - Finals meeting between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula finished 2-1 on Tuesday, 4 November 2025.

Among the available predictions, Jessica Pegula to win receives the highest model rating at 46%. Latest recorded odds for the pick are 3.90, with BetFTW assigning it a Medium stake rating. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the total-sets market. The model selects over 2.5 sets, assigning the outcome a 50% probability at latest recorded odds of 2.90. over 2.5 sets is rated more highly by the model, at 50% compared with 46% for Jessica Pegula to win. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 3.90. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.