Carlos Alcaraz 2-0 Alex De Minaur

Finished

For this ATP World Tour - Finals match, BetFTW's top pick is Alex De Minaur to win, with a 46% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Alex De Minaur to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    46%
    Stake Med 32.8/100
    Odds 5.10 FanDuel Recorded P/L -32.83
    Best odds 5.10 FanDuel
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    50%
    Stake Low 23.0/100
    Odds 2.85 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -22.97
    Best odds 2.85 Marathonbet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex De Minaur prediction review

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex De Minaur took place in ATP World Tour - Finals on Sunday, 9 November 2025 and ended with a 2-0 final score.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects Alex De Minaur to win and assigns the outcome a 46% probability. The selection is shown at latest recorded odds of 5.10 and carries a Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

A second available pick comes from the total-sets market. BetFTW rates over 2.5 sets at 50%, compared with latest recorded odds of 2.85. While over 2.5 sets is the higher-probability selection, Alex De Minaur to win provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 5.10. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.