Carlos Alcaraz 2-1 Taylor Fritz

Finished

For this ATP World Tour - Finals match, BetFTW's top pick is Taylor Fritz to win, with a 46% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Taylor Fritz to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    46%
    Stake Med 31.8/100
    Odds 4.80 FanDuel Recorded P/L -31.79
    Best odds 4.80 FanDuel
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    50%
    Stake Low 23.7/100
    Odds 2.90 Marathonbet Recorded P/L +44.99
    Best odds 2.90 Marathonbet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz prediction review

Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz met in ATP World Tour - Finals on Tuesday, 11 November 2025, with the event ending 2-1.

For the match-winner market, BetFTW favours Taylor Fritz to win at 46%. The selection is shown at latest recorded odds of 4.80 and carries a Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

Another available betting angle for the event comes from the total-sets market. The model selects over 2.5 sets, assigning the outcome a 50% probability at latest recorded odds of 2.90. While over 2.5 sets is the higher-probability selection, Taylor Fritz to win provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 4.80. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.