Lorenzo Musetti 2-1 Alex De Minaur

Finished

For this ATP World Tour - Finals match, BetFTW's top pick is Lorenzo Musetti to win, with a 46% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Lorenzo Musetti to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    46%
    Stake Low 24.4/100
    Odds 3.50 Betway Recorded P/L +61.00
    Best odds 3.50 Betway
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    50%
    Stake Low 19.7/100
    Odds 2.65 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +32.51
    Best odds 2.65 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur prediction review

ATP World Tour - Finals action on Tuesday, 11 November 2025 included Lorenzo Musetti against Alex De Minaur, a match that finished 2-1.

The leading model-based prediction for Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur is Lorenzo Musetti to win, with a calculated probability of 46%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 3.50, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Low stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

BetFTW also has a prediction available in the total-sets market. BetFTW rates over 2.5 sets at 50%, compared with latest recorded odds of 2.65. Of the two available picks, over 2.5 sets carries the higher model probability at 50% compared with 46%. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 3.50. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.