Carlos Alcaraz 2-0 Lorenzo Musetti

Finished

For this ATP World Tour - Finals match, BetFTW's top pick is Lorenzo Musetti to win, with a 42% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 48%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Lorenzo Musetti to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    42%
    Stake Med 31.8/100
    Odds 6.66 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -32.24
    Best odds 6.94 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    48%
    Stake Med 29.3/100
    Odds 3.78 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -29.29
    Best odds 3.78 Marathonbet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti prediction review

Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti took place in ATP World Tour - Finals on Thursday, 13 November 2025 and ended with a 2-0 final score.

BetFTW gives Lorenzo Musetti to win a 42% probability, making it the top-ranked pick for this event. The prediction's latest recorded price is 6.66, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

A second available pick comes from the total-sets market. BetFTW rates over 2.5 sets at 48%, compared with latest recorded odds of 3.78. While over 2.5 sets is the higher-probability selection, Lorenzo Musetti to win provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The primary selection reached best recorded odds of 6.94, compared with a latest recorded price of 6.66. The original model probability, recorded prices, stake band and settled outcome remain on this page as a transparent historical prediction record.