Carlos Alcaraz 0-2 Jannik Sinner

Finished

For this ATP World Tour - Finals match, BetFTW's top pick is Carlos Alcaraz to win, with a 68% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 44%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Carlos Alcaraz to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    68%
    Stake Med 49.7/100
    Odds 2.75 Betway Recorded P/L -49.71
    Best odds 2.75 Betway
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    44%
    Stake Low 5.1/100
    Odds 2.44 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -5.11
    Best odds 2.44 Marathonbet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner prediction review

ATP World Tour - Finals action on Sunday, 16 November 2025 included Carlos Alcaraz against Jannik Sinner, a match that finished 0-2.

The model's strongest available selection is Carlos Alcaraz to win, rated at 68%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.75, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the total-sets market. The model selects over 2.5 sets, assigning the outcome a 44% probability at latest recorded odds of 2.44. Of the two available picks, Carlos Alcaraz to win carries the higher model probability at 68% compared with 44%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 2.75. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.