Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 2-3 Sebastian Baez

Finished

For this ATP Australian Open match, BetFTW's top pick is Sebastian Baez to win, with a 56% model probability. We also predict under 3.5 sets at 45%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Sebastian Baez to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    56%
    Stake Low 22.2/100
    Odds 2.30 bet365 Recorded P/L +29.36
    Best odds 2.31 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 3.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    45%
    Stake Low 14.4/100
    Odds 2.80 Unibet Recorded P/L -14.44
    Best odds 2.80 Unibet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Sebastian Baez prediction review

The final score was 2-3 when Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard faced Sebastian Baez in ATP Australian Open on Tuesday, 20 January 2026.

The highest-rated BetFTW selection for this event is Sebastian Baez to win, which carries a 56% model probability. The selection has latest recorded odds of 2.30 and falls into the Low stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

BetFTW also has a prediction available in the total-sets market. BetFTW rates under 3.5 sets at 45%, compared with latest recorded odds of 2.80. While Sebastian Baez to win is the higher-probability selection, under 3.5 sets provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The primary selection reached best recorded odds of 2.31, compared with a latest recorded price of 2.30. The original model probability, recorded prices, stake band and settled outcome remain on this page as a transparent historical prediction record.