Karen Khachanov 3-2 Alex Michelsen

Finished

For this ATP Australian Open match, BetFTW's top pick is Karen Khachanov to win, with a 79% model probability. We also predict under 3.5 sets at 60%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Karen Khachanov to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    79%
    Stake Med 45.7/100
    Odds 1.63 Interwetten Recorded P/L +33.63
    Best odds 1.69 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 3.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    60%
    Stake Med 37.4/100
    Odds 2.77 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -37.40
    Best odds 2.77 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Karen Khachanov vs Alex Michelsen prediction review

The final score was 3-2 when Karen Khachanov faced Alex Michelsen in ATP Australian Open on Tuesday, 20 January 2026.

BetFTW's model rates Karen Khachanov to win as the leading prediction for the event, with an estimated probability of 79%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 1.63, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

Another available betting angle for the event comes from the total-sets market. BetFTW rates under 3.5 sets at 60%, compared with latest recorded odds of 2.77. Of the two available picks, Karen Khachanov to win carries the higher model probability at 79% compared with 60%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best price recorded for the primary pick is 1.69, above its latest recorded odds of 1.63. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.