Shintaro Mochizuki 1-3 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Finished

For this ATP Australian Open match, BetFTW's top pick is under 3.5 sets, with a 59% model probability. We also predict Shintaro Mochizuki to win at 22%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 3.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    59%
    Stake Low 14.3/100
    Odds 1.92 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -18.00
    Best odds 2.00 Casumo Sport
  2. Pick 2 Shintaro Mochizuki to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    22%
    Stake Low 10.5/100
    Odds 7.80 FanDuel Recorded P/L -10.53
    Best odds 7.80 FanDuel
Odds updated
Match analysis

Shintaro Mochizuki vs Stefanos Tsitsipas prediction review

The ATP Australian Open meeting between Shintaro Mochizuki and Stefanos Tsitsipas finished 1-3 on Tuesday, 20 January 2026.

BetFTW's model rates under 3.5 sets as the leading prediction for the event, with an estimated probability of 59%. The selection has latest recorded odds of 1.92 and falls into the Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the match-winner market. For this market, Shintaro Mochizuki to win carries a 22% model probability and latest recorded odds of 7.80. The predictions cover different markets, with the model assigning the higher probability to under 3.5 sets. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The primary selection reached best recorded odds of 2.00, compared with a latest recorded price of 1.92. Published prediction data remains visible after settlement, including the model probability, recorded prices, stake and outcome.