Jordan Thompson 1-3 Nuno Borges

Finished

For this ATP Australian Open match, BetFTW's top pick is under 3.5 sets, with a 46% model probability. We also predict Jordan Thompson to win at 42%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 3.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    46%
    Stake Low 11.2/100
    Odds 2.55 Unibet Recorded P/L -11.16
    Best odds 2.55 Unibet
  2. Pick 2 Jordan Thompson to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    42%
    Stake Low 8.9/100
    Odds 2.75 Betway Recorded P/L -8.86
    Best odds 2.75 Betway
Odds updated
Match analysis

Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges prediction review

The ATP Australian Open meeting between Jordan Thompson and Nuno Borges finished 1-3 on Wednesday, 21 January 2026.

BetFTW's model rates under 3.5 sets as the leading prediction for the event, with an estimated probability of 46%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.55, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

Another available betting angle for the event comes from the match-winner market. The model selects Jordan Thompson to win, assigning the outcome a 42% probability at latest recorded odds of 2.75. Of the two available picks, under 3.5 sets carries the higher model probability at 46% compared with 42%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 2.55. The original model probability, recorded prices, stake band and settled outcome remain on this page as a transparent historical prediction record.