Daniil Medvedev 3-2 Fabian Marozsan

Finished

For this ATP Australian Open match, BetFTW's top pick is under 3.5 sets, with a 57% model probability. We also predict Fabian Marozsan to win at 24%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 3.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    57%
    Stake Low 21.2/100
    Odds 2.20 Betway Recorded P/L -21.17
    Best odds 2.20 Betway
  2. Pick 2 Fabian Marozsan to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    24%
    Stake Low 6.7/100
    Odds 5.40 Vave Recorded P/L -6.73
    Best odds 5.40 Vave
Odds updated
Match analysis

Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan prediction review

The ATP Australian Open meeting between Daniil Medvedev and Fabian Marozsan finished 3-2 on Friday, 23 January 2026.

BetFTW's model rates under 3.5 sets as the leading prediction for the event, with an estimated probability of 57%. BetFTW records odds of 2.20 for the selection, alongside a Low recommended stake rating. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

Another available betting angle for the event comes from the match-winner market. BetFTW rates Fabian Marozsan to win at 24%, compared with latest recorded odds of 5.40. under 3.5 sets is rated more highly by the model, at 57% compared with 24% for Fabian Marozsan to win. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 2.20. Published prediction data remains visible after settlement, including the model probability, recorded prices, stake and outcome.