Frances Tiafoe 0-3 Alex De Minaur

Finished

For this ATP Australian Open match, BetFTW's top pick is under 3.5 sets, with a 52% model probability. We also predict Frances Tiafoe to win at 30%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 3.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    52%
    Stake Low 16.7/100
    Odds 2.36 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +27.92
    Best odds 2.46 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Frances Tiafoe to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    30%
    Stake Low 14.8/100
    Odds 5.60 Vave Recorded P/L -14.78
    Best odds 5.60 Vave
Odds updated
Match analysis

Frances Tiafoe vs Alex De Minaur prediction review

Frances Tiafoe vs Alex De Minaur took place in ATP Australian Open on Friday, 23 January 2026 and ended with a 0-3 final score.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects under 3.5 sets and assigns the outcome a 52% probability. BetFTW records odds of 2.36 for the selection, alongside a Low recommended stake rating. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

BetFTW also has a prediction available in the match-winner market. The model selects Frances Tiafoe to win, assigning the outcome a 30% probability at latest recorded odds of 5.60. While under 3.5 sets is the higher-probability selection, Frances Tiafoe to win provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best price recorded for the primary pick is 2.46, above its latest recorded odds of 2.36. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.