Carlos Alcaraz 3-1 Novak Djokovic

Finished

For this ATP Australian Open match, BetFTW's top pick is Novak Djokovic to win, with a 46% model probability. We also predict under 3.5 sets at 45%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Novak Djokovic to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    46%
    Stake Med 25.2/100
    Odds 3.60 BetVictor Recorded P/L -25.62
    Best odds 3.65 Betano
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 3.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    45%
    Stake Low 7.6/100
    Odds 2.47 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -8.09
    Best odds 2.49 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic prediction review

ATP Australian Open action on Sunday, 1 February 2026 included Carlos Alcaraz against Novak Djokovic, a match that finished 3-1.

BetFTW's model rates Novak Djokovic to win as the leading prediction for the event, with an estimated probability of 46%. BetFTW records odds of 3.60 for the selection, alongside a Medium recommended stake rating. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

A second available pick comes from the total-sets market. For this market, under 3.5 sets carries a 45% model probability and latest recorded odds of 2.47. Of the two available picks, Novak Djokovic to win carries the higher model probability at 46% compared with 45%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

BetFTW shows best recorded odds of 3.65 for the primary prediction, while its latest recorded odds are 3.60. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.