Jasmine Paolini 2-1 Katie Boulter

Finished

For this WTA Merida match, BetFTW's top pick is Jasmine Paolini to win, with a 68% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 44%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Jasmine Paolini to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    68%
    Stake Low 13.9/100
    Odds 1.59 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +8.17
    Best odds 1.59 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    44%
    Stake Low 7.9/100
    Odds 2.55 Betsson Recorded P/L +12.20
    Best odds 2.55 Betsson
Odds updated
Match analysis

Jasmine Paolini vs Katie Boulter prediction review

Jasmine Paolini and Katie Boulter met in WTA Merida on Saturday, 28 February 2026, with the event ending 2-1.

The model's strongest available selection is Jasmine Paolini to win, rated at 68%. BetFTW records odds of 1.59 for the selection, alongside a Low recommended stake rating. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

A second available pick comes from the total-sets market. BetFTW rates over 2.5 sets at 44%, compared with latest recorded odds of 2.55. Jasmine Paolini to win is rated more highly by the model, at 68% compared with 44% for over 2.5 sets. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 1.59. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.