Matteo Arnaldi 1-3 James Duckworth

Finished

For this ATP US Open match, BetFTW's top pick is James Duckworth to win, with a 73% model probability. We also predict under 3.5 sets at 55%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 James Duckworth to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    73%
    Stake High 55.0/100
    Odds 2.50 Novibet Recorded P/L +82.50
    Best odds 2.50 Novibet
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 3.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    55%
    Stake Med 27.7/100
    Odds 2.65 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -27.73
    Best odds 2.65 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated
Match analysis

Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth prediction review

The ATP US Open meeting between Matteo Arnaldi and James Duckworth finished 1-3 on Monday, 31 August 2026.

BetFTW's model rates James Duckworth to win as the leading prediction for the event, with an estimated probability of 73%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.50, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's High stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The total-sets market provides another BetFTW prediction for this event. For this market, under 3.5 sets carries a 55% model probability and latest recorded odds of 2.65. Of the two available picks, James Duckworth to win carries the higher model probability at 73% compared with 55%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 2.50. Published prediction data remains visible after settlement, including the model probability, recorded prices, stake and outcome.