Alexei Popyrin 1-3 Alejandro Tabilo

Finished

For this ATP US Open match, BetFTW's top pick is Alejandro Tabilo to win, with a 72% model probability. We also predict under 3.5 sets at 54%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Alejandro Tabilo to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    72%
    Stake Med 40.5/100
    Odds 1.89 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L +36.08
    Best odds 1.89 Casumo Sport
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 3.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    54%
    Stake Med 28.4/100
    Odds 2.80 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L -28.44
    Best odds 2.80 Casumo Sport
Odds updated
Match analysis

Alexei Popyrin vs Alejandro Tabilo prediction review

The ATP US Open meeting between Alexei Popyrin and Alejandro Tabilo finished 1-3 on Thursday, 3 September 2026.

BetFTW gives Alejandro Tabilo to win a 72% probability, making it the top-ranked pick for this event. The selection is shown at latest recorded odds of 1.89 and carries a Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the total-sets market. BetFTW rates under 3.5 sets at 54%, compared with latest recorded odds of 2.80. Alejandro Tabilo to win is rated more highly by the model, at 72% compared with 54% for under 3.5 sets. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 1.89. The original model probability, recorded prices, stake band and settled outcome remain on this page as a transparent historical prediction record.