Alexander Bublik 2-3 Tommy Paul

Finished

For this ATP US Open match, BetFTW's top pick is under 3.5 sets, with a 51% model probability. We also predict Tommy Paul to win at 68%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 3.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    51%
    Stake Low 24.9/100
    Odds 2.88 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -24.94
    Best odds 2.88 LeoVegas Sport
  2. Pick 2 Tommy Paul to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    68%
    Stake Low 14.7/100
    Odds 1.60 Betway Recorded P/L +10.16
    Best odds 1.62 FanDuel
Odds updated
Match analysis

Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul prediction review

The final score was 2-3 when Alexander Bublik faced Tommy Paul in ATP US Open on Friday, 4 September 2026.

The highest-rated BetFTW selection for this event is under 3.5 sets, which carries a 51% model probability. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.88, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the match-winner market. The model selects Tommy Paul to win, assigning the outcome a 68% probability at latest recorded odds of 1.60. Tommy Paul to win is rated more highly by the model, at 68% compared with 51% for under 3.5 sets. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 2.88. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.