Jessica Pegula 2-1 Leylah Fernandez

Finished

For this WTA US Open match, BetFTW's top pick is Leylah Fernandez to win, with a 26% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 38%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Leylah Fernandez to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    26%
    Stake Low 10.9/100
    Odds 5.90 FanDuel Recorded P/L -10.90
    Best odds 5.90 FanDuel
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    38%
    Stake Low 7.0/100
    Odds 3.00 Betsson Recorded P/L +21.60
    Best odds 3.20 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated
Match analysis

Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez prediction review

The final score was 2-1 when Jessica Pegula faced Leylah Fernandez in WTA US Open on Friday, 4 September 2026.

BetFTW's model rates Leylah Fernandez to win as the leading prediction for the event, with an estimated probability of 26%. BetFTW records odds of 5.90 for the selection, alongside a Low recommended stake rating. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the total-sets market. For this market, over 2.5 sets carries a 38% model probability and latest recorded odds of 3.00. The predictions cover different markets, with the model assigning the higher probability to over 2.5 sets. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 5.90. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.