Naomi Osaka 2-1 Elise Mertens

Finished

For this WTA US Open match, BetFTW's top pick is Elise Mertens to win, with a 46% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Elise Mertens to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    46%
    Stake Med 26.4/100
    Odds 3.75 Mostbet Recorded P/L -27.38
    Best odds 3.90 Betano
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    50%
    Stake Low 19.7/100
    Odds 2.65 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L +32.51
    Best odds 2.65 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated
Match analysis

Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens prediction review

Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens took place in WTA US Open on Sunday, 6 September 2026 and ended with a 2-1 final score.

The leading model-based prediction for Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens is Elise Mertens to win, with a calculated probability of 46%. Latest recorded odds for the pick are 3.75, with BetFTW assigning it a Medium stake rating. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

BetFTW also has a prediction available in the total-sets market. The model selects over 2.5 sets, assigning the outcome a 50% probability at latest recorded odds of 2.65. While over 2.5 sets is the higher-probability selection, Elise Mertens to win provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The primary selection reached best recorded odds of 3.90, compared with a latest recorded price of 3.75. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.