Tommy Paul 0-3 Carlos Alcaraz

Finished

For this ATP US Open match, BetFTW's top pick is Tommy Paul to win, with a 36% model probability. We also predict under 3.5 sets at 49%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Tommy Paul to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    36%
    Stake Low 19.6/100
    Odds 4.90 Novibet Recorded P/L -20.94
    Best odds 5.25 Novibet
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 3.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    49%
    Stake Low 6.5/100
    Odds 2.20 bet365 Recorded P/L +7.80
    Best odds 2.20 bet365
Odds updated
Match analysis

Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction review

ATP US Open action on Sunday, 6 September 2026 included Tommy Paul against Carlos Alcaraz, a match that finished 0-3.

BetFTW gives Tommy Paul to win a 36% probability, making it the top-ranked pick for this event. BetFTW records odds of 4.90 for the selection, alongside a Low recommended stake rating. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the total-sets market. The model selects under 3.5 sets, assigning the outcome a 49% probability at latest recorded odds of 2.20. under 3.5 sets is rated more highly by the model, at 49% compared with 36% for Tommy Paul to win. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

BetFTW shows best recorded odds of 5.25 for the primary prediction, while its latest recorded odds are 4.90. Published prediction data remains visible after settlement, including the model probability, recorded prices, stake and outcome.