Denis Shapovalov 2-1 Alejandro Tabilo

Finished

For this ATP Tokyo match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 sets, with a 50% model probability. We also predict Alejandro Tabilo to win at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    50%
    Stake Low 10.9/100
    Odds 2.28 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L +15.00
    Best odds 2.30 LeoVegas Sport
  2. Pick 2 Alejandro Tabilo to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    50%
    Stake Low 10.4/100
    Odds 2.26 1xBet Recorded P/L -15.03
    Best odds 2.43 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated
Match analysis

Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo prediction review

ATP Tokyo action on Saturday, 3 October 2026 included Denis Shapovalov against Alejandro Tabilo, a match that finished 2-1.

BetFTW's model rates over 2.5 sets as the leading prediction for the event, with an estimated probability of 50%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.28, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Low stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

Another available betting angle for the event comes from the match-winner market. The model selects Alejandro Tabilo to win, assigning the outcome a 50% probability at latest recorded odds of 2.26. The two available picks carry the same estimated probability and cover separate markets. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best price recorded for the primary pick is 2.30, above its latest recorded odds of 2.28. Published prediction data remains visible after settlement, including the model probability, recorded prices, stake and outcome.