Carlos Alcaraz Denis Shapovalov

For this ATP Tokyo match, BetFTW's top pick is Denis Shapovalov to win, with a 28% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 40%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Denis Shapovalov to win Open - settles at full-time.
    Event probability
    28%
    Stake Low 16.0/100
    Odds 7.00 William Hill
    Best odds 7.00 William Hill
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 Open - settles at full-time.
    Event probability
    40%
    Stake Low 13.9/100
    Odds 3.30 LeoVegas Sport
    Best odds 3.30 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated
Match analysis

Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov prediction preview

Carlos Alcaraz and Denis Shapovalov go head-to-head in ATP Tokyo on .

BetFTW gives Denis Shapovalov to win a 28% probability, making it the top-ranked pick for this event. The selection has latest recorded odds of 7.00 and falls into the Low stake band.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the total-sets market. over 2.5 sets is rated at 40%, with latest recorded odds of 3.30. The predictions cover different markets, with the model assigning the higher probability to over 2.5 sets.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 7.00. The BetFTW process compares estimated probabilities with recorded odds to identify potential value. A higher stake band reflects a larger calculated edge, not certainty.