Daniil Medvedev 2-1 Tommy Paul

Finished

For this ATP Shanghai match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 sets, with a 48% model probability. We also predict Tommy Paul to win at 38%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    48%
    Stake Low 10.3/100
    Odds 2.38 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L +15.20
    Best odds 2.40 Betway
  2. Pick 2 Tommy Paul to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    38%
    Stake Low 9.2/100
    Odds 3.15 FanDuel Recorded P/L -9.16
    Best odds 3.15 FanDuel
Odds updated
Match analysis

Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul prediction review

ATP Shanghai action on Friday, 16 October 2026 included Daniil Medvedev against Tommy Paul, a match that finished 2-1.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects over 2.5 sets and assigns the outcome a 48% probability. The selection has latest recorded odds of 2.38 and falls into the Low stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

Another available betting angle for the event comes from the match-winner market. The model selects Tommy Paul to win, assigning the outcome a 38% probability at latest recorded odds of 3.15. Of the two available picks, over 2.5 sets carries the higher model probability at 48% compared with 38%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The primary selection reached best recorded odds of 2.40, compared with a latest recorded price of 2.38. Published prediction data remains visible after settlement, including the model probability, recorded prices, stake and outcome.