Adelaide United 2-1 Melbourne Victory

Finished

For this A-League match, BetFTW's top pick is Adelaide United to win, with a 42% model probability. We also predict the draw at 29%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Adelaide United to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    42%
    Stake Low 18.7/100
    Odds 3.49 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +46.59
    Best odds 3.49 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    29%
    Stake Low 5.3/100
    Odds 3.99 GG.BET Recorded P/L -5.25
    Best odds 3.99 GG.BET
Odds updated
Match analysis

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory prediction review

The A-League meeting between Adelaide United and Melbourne Victory finished 2-1 on Saturday, 17 January 2026.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects Adelaide United to win and assigns the outcome a 42% probability. Latest recorded odds for the pick are 3.49, with BetFTW assigning it a Low stake rating. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

BetFTW publishes a second selection from the match-result market for this event. The model selects the draw, assigning the outcome a 29% probability at latest recorded odds of 3.99. Within the match-result market, the model assigns the higher probability to Adelaide United to win. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 3.49. Published prediction data remains visible after settlement, including the model probability, recorded prices, stake and outcome.