Tampa Bay Lightning 4-1 Montreal Canadiens

Finished

For this NHL match, BetFTW's top pick is over 5.5 goals, with a 60% model probability. We also predict Tampa Bay Lightning to win at 70%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 5.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    60%
    Stake Med 41.8/100
    Odds 3.20 STS Recorded P/L -41.82
    Best odds 3.20 STS
  2. Pick 2 Tampa Bay Lightning to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    70%
    Stake Low 10.0/100
    Odds 1.50 STS Recorded P/L +9.63
    Best odds 1.57 1xBet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens prediction review

Tampa Bay Lightning and Montreal Canadiens met in NHL on Thursday, 29 December 2022, with the event ending 4-1.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects over 5.5 goals and assigns the outcome a 60% probability. The prediction's latest recorded price is 3.20, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the match-result market. The model selects Tampa Bay Lightning to win, assigning the outcome a 70% probability at latest recorded odds of 1.50. Tampa Bay Lightning to win is rated more highly by the model, at 70% compared with 60% for over 5.5 goals. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 3.20. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.