Dallas Stars 2-3 Tampa Bay Lightning

Finished

For this NHL match, BetFTW's top pick is Dallas Stars to win, with a 49% model probability. We also predict under 5.5 goals at 48%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Dallas Stars to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    49%
    Stake Low 19.0/100
    Odds 2.70 bet365 Recorded P/L -19.00
    Best odds 2.70 bet365
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 5.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    48%
    Stake Low 5.0/100
    Odds 2.21 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +6.07
    Best odds 2.21 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction review

The final score was 2-3 when Dallas Stars faced Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL on Friday, 21 March 2025.

The highest-rated BetFTW selection for this event is Dallas Stars to win, which carries a 49% model probability. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.70, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the goals market. The model selects under 5.5 goals, assigning the outcome a 48% probability at latest recorded odds of 2.21. While Dallas Stars to win is the higher-probability selection, under 5.5 goals provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 2.70. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.