Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Finished

For this NHL match, BetFTW's top pick is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 41% model probability. We also predict under 5.5 goals at 44%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Pittsburgh Penguins to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    41%
    Stake Low 17.9/100
    Odds 3.55 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -17.86
    Best odds 3.55 LeoVegas Sport
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 5.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    44%
    Stake Low 9.0/100
    Odds 2.60 bet365 Recorded P/L -9.00
    Best odds 2.60 bet365
  3. Pick 3 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    26%
    Stake Low 6.5/100
    Odds 4.80 20Bet Recorded P/L -6.53
    Best odds 4.80 20Bet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction review

NHL action on Tuesday, 4 November 2025 included Toronto Maple Leafs against Pittsburgh Penguins, a match that finished 4-3.

The leading model-based prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a calculated probability of 41%. BetFTW records odds of 3.55 for the selection, alongside a Low recommended stake rating. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the goals market. For this market, under 5.5 goals carries a 44% model probability and latest recorded odds of 2.60. under 5.5 goals is rated more highly by the model, at 44% compared with 41% for Pittsburgh Penguins to win. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 3.55. The original model probability, recorded prices, stake band and settled outcome remain on this page as a transparent historical prediction record.