New York Islanders 2-1 Tampa Bay Lightning

Finished

For this NHL match, BetFTW's top pick is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 50% model probability. We also predict the draw at 31%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Tampa Bay Lightning to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    50%
    Stake Low 13.0/100
    Odds 2.35 Fezbet Recorded P/L -12.96
    Best odds 2.35 Fezbet
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    31%
    Stake Low 11.4/100
    Odds 4.52 1xBet Recorded P/L -11.40
    Best odds 4.52 1xBet
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 5.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    52%
    Stake Low 7.1/100
    Odds 2.07 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +14.40
    Best odds 2.20 ToonieBet
Odds updated
Match analysis

New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction review

New York Islanders and Tampa Bay Lightning met in NHL on Wednesday, 3 December 2025, with the event ending 2-1.

The leading model-based prediction for New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a calculated probability of 50%. The selection has latest recorded odds of 2.35 and falls into the Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

A second available pick also comes from the match-result market. BetFTW rates the draw at 31%, compared with latest recorded odds of 4.52. Of the two available picks, Tampa Bay Lightning to win carries the higher model probability at 50% compared with 31%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 2.35. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.