Montreal Canadiens 1-6 Tampa Bay Lightning

Finished

For this NHL match, BetFTW's top pick is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 51% model probability. We also predict the draw at 31%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Tampa Bay Lightning to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    51%
    Stake Low 20.4/100
    Odds 2.60 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L +42.80
    Best odds 2.80 bet365
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    31%
    Stake Low 11.3/100
    Odds 4.50 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -11.62
    Best odds 4.56 1xBet
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 5.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    48%
    Stake Low 10.9/100
    Odds 2.40 BetVictor Recorded P/L -10.86
    Best odds 2.40 BetVictor
Odds updated
Match analysis

Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction review

Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning met in NHL on Wednesday, 10 December 2025, with the event ending 1-6.

The leading model-based prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a calculated probability of 51%. BetFTW records odds of 2.60 for the selection, alongside a Low recommended stake rating. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The match-result market provides another BetFTW selection for this event. BetFTW rates the draw at 31%, compared with latest recorded odds of 4.50. Of the two available picks, Tampa Bay Lightning to win carries the higher model probability at 51% compared with 31%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The primary selection reached best recorded odds of 2.80, compared with a latest recorded price of 2.60. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.